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Red15
318414.0
308117.8
504115.4
Blue14
286114.8
37459.6
52786.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions412702060801001514

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3081
#46
17.81.6
21.219.7
Auto0.2
Teleop17.6
End0.0
red by 2.9
2861
#39
14.81.3
11.410.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.0
End0.0
Second
5041
#47
15.42.1
9.87.7
Auto0.0
Teleop15.3
End0.0
red by 5.8
3745
#52
9.61.3
8.77.4
Auto0.3
Teleop9.3
End0.0
Third
3184
#60
14.01.6
9.58.0
Auto0.1
Teleop13.9
End0.0
red by 7.1
5278
#61
6.91.3
10.08.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.0
End0.0