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Red0
28257.3
247027.2
43609.8
Blue48
308117.8
250931.5
551612.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44430206080100048

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2470
#23
27.22.4
26.123.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop27.4
End0.0
blue by 4.2
31.50.0
17.817.8
Auto0.7
Teleop30.8
End0.0
Second
4360
#54
9.83.0
7.64.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.8
End0.0
blue by 8.0
3081
#46
17.80.0
21.221.2
Auto0.2
Teleop17.6
End0.0
Third
2825
#63
7.33.0
8.75.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop7.4
End0.0
blue by 5.2
5516
#28
12.53.9
12.58.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.6
End0.0