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Red16
252911.2
28793.4
249819.5
Blue26
251810.2
43609.8
250016.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23360501001502002501626

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2498
#24
19.50.8
10.49.6
Auto0.4
Teleop19.1
End0.0
red by 3.2
2500
#30
16.30.6
20.520.0
Auto0.6
Teleop15.7
End0.0
Second
2529
#41
11.20.8
8.88.0
Auto0.5
Teleop10.7
End0.0
red by 1.0
2518
#49
10.20.6
10.09.4
Auto0.5
Teleop9.7
End0.0
Third
2879
#56
3.40.8
6.55.7
Auto0.3
Teleop3.0
End0.0
blue by 6.4
4360
#54
9.80.8
4.63.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.8
End0.0