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Red0
363015.0
43609.8
25157.3
Blue6
52786.9
324415.4
318414.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions302602040608010006

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3630
#48
15.01.8
10.99.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.0
End0.0
blue by 0.4
3244
#35
15.42.0
12.510.6
Auto0.3
Teleop15.1
End0.0
Second
4360
#54
9.81.8
14.112.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.8
End0.0
blue by 4.2
3184
#60
14.01.2
9.48.2
Auto0.1
Teleop13.9
End0.0
Third
2515
#62
7.31.8
3.01.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop7.3
End0.0
red by 0.4
5278
#61
6.92.0
7.65.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.0
End0.0