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Red4
527116.1
330014.3
250814.4
Blue50
16722.6
28793.4
247027.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37510100150200450

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5271
#44
16.12.5
18.616.0
Auto0.2
Teleop15.9
End0.0
blue by 11.1
2470
#23
27.20.0
25.225.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop27.4
End0.0
Second
2508
#55
14.42.5
9.46.9
Auto0.0
Teleop14.4
End0.0
blue by 8.2
167
#8
22.60.0
17.016.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop22.8
End0.0
Third
3300
#33
14.32.5
12.59.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop14.3
End0.0
red by 10.9
2879
#56
3.40.1
8.68.5
Auto0.3
Teleop3.0
End0.0