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Red74
300741.9
327813.3
286114.8
Blue78
25157.3
31008.4
250931.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60240501001507478

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.91.4
35.436.9
Auto0.5
Teleop41.4
End0.0
red by 10.4
31.52.3
21.023.4
Auto0.7
Teleop30.8
End0.0
Second
2861
#39
14.81.4
9.911.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.0
End0.0
red by 6.4
3100
#57
8.43.9
6.510.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.5
End0.0
Third
3278
#37
13.30.9
11.412.3
Auto0.1
Teleop13.2
End0.0
red by 6.0
2515
#62
7.33.9
3.57.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop7.3
End0.0