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Red48
52786.9
303815.3
251810.2
Blue76
298724.5
222712.7
282320.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions275301001502004876

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3038
#51
15.31.3
15.316.6
Auto0.2
Teleop15.0
End0.0
blue by 9.2
2987
#12
24.52.1
18.120.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop24.7
End0.0
Second
2518
#49
10.20.8
10.110.9
Auto0.5
Teleop9.7
End0.0
blue by 10.3
2823
#22
20.51.3
18.019.3
Auto0.4
Teleop20.1
End0.0
Third
5278
#61
6.91.3
6.88.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.0
End0.0
blue by 5.9
2227
#34
12.72.1
14.316.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.8
End0.0