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Red10
329212.8
551612.5
251114.2
Blue59
527116.1
286114.8
324415.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324301001502002501059

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2511
#43
14.21.9
10.48.5
Auto0.0
Teleop14.2
End0.0
blue by 1.9
5271
#44
16.11.2
15.116.3
Auto0.2
Teleop15.9
End0.0
Second
3292
#27
12.81.9
12.710.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.9
End0.0
blue by 2.6
3244
#35
15.41.2
15.316.5
Auto0.3
Teleop15.1
End0.0
Third
5516
#28
12.51.9
11.79.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop12.6
End0.0
blue by 2.3
2861
#39
14.81.2
12.713.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop15.0
End0.0