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Red104
453620.1
205247.5
419824.2
Blue90
320223.4
331329.9
249819.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions896505010015010490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.50.3
46.646.8
Auto0.5
Teleop47.0
End0.0
red by 17.6
3313
#11
29.90.4
29.429.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop29.9
End0.0
Second
4198
#16
24.20.3
23.023.4
Auto0.1
Teleop24.1
End0.0
red by 0.9
3202
#13
23.40.4
23.023.4
Auto0.1
Teleop23.3
End0.0
Third
4536
#32
20.10.3
18.919.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop20.3
End0.0
red by 0.6
2498
#24
19.50.4
19.119.5
Auto0.4
Teleop19.1
End0.0