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Final 12015 Minnesota State Championship
Red206
313077.7
251248.2
421521.6
Blue125
205250.2
288349.8
252631.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14612350100200250206125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3130
Unranked
77.70.0
77.7→77.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop77.7
End0.0
red by 27.5
2052
Unranked
50.20.0
50.2→50.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop50.4
End0.0
Second
2512
Unranked
48.20.0
48.2→48.2
Auto8.5
Teleop39.7
End0.0
blue by 1.7
2883
Unranked
49.80.0
49.8→49.8
Auto2.0
Teleop47.9
End0.0
Third
4215
Unranked
21.60.0
21.6→21.6
Auto-0.5
Teleop22.1
End0.0
blue by 9.6
2526
Unranked
31.20.0
31.2→31.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop31.5
End0.0