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Red28
300741.9
525320.2
329933.0
Blue121
205250.2
517240.0
247222.4
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8811205015020025030028121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3007
Unranked
41.90.0
41.941.9
Auto0.5
Teleop41.4
End0.0
blue by 8.3
2052
Unranked
50.20.0
50.250.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop50.4
End0.0
Second
3299
Unranked
33.00.0
33.033.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop33.1
End0.0
blue by 7.0
5172
Unranked
40.00.0
40.040.0
Auto-0.6
Teleop40.6
End0.0
Third
5253
Unranked
20.20.0
20.220.2
Auto0.5
Teleop19.7
End0.0
blue by 2.2
2472
Unranked
22.40.0
22.422.4
Auto0.8
Teleop21.5
End0.0