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Red40
331329.9
562616.7
305529.8
Blue50
218132.2
252631.2
247222.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72850501502002503003504050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3313
Unranked
29.90.0
29.929.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop29.9
End0.0
blue by 2.4
2181
Unranked
32.20.0
32.232.2
Auto0.7
Teleop31.5
End0.0
Second
3055
Unranked
29.80.0
29.829.8
Auto0.4
Teleop29.5
End0.0
blue by 1.4
2526
Unranked
31.20.0
31.231.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop31.5
End0.0
Third
5626
Unranked
16.70.0
16.716.7
Auto0.5
Teleop16.2
End0.0
blue by 5.6
2472
Unranked
22.40.0
22.422.4
Auto0.8
Teleop21.5
End0.0