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Qual 172015 Minnesota State Championship
Red108
562616.7
181633.6
543416.5
Blue134
485928.2
453624.4
253023.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63750100150200250300108134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1816
Unranked
33.60.0
33.6→33.6
Auto0.2
Teleop33.4
End0.0
red by 5.4
4859
Unranked
28.20.0
28.2→28.2
Auto1.0
Teleop27.1
End0.0
Second
5626
Unranked
16.70.0
16.7→16.7
Auto0.5
Teleop16.2
End0.0
blue by 7.6
4536
Unranked
24.40.0
24.4→24.4
Auto0.0
Teleop24.4
End0.0
Third
5434
Unranked
16.50.0
16.5→16.5
Auto0.2
Teleop16.3
End0.0
blue by 6.8
2530
Unranked
23.30.0
23.3→23.3
Auto1.3
Teleop22.0
End0.0