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Qual 222015 Minnesota State Championship
Red107
485928.2
562616.7
477823.0
Blue159
523220.7
300741.9
251248.2
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions561160100150200250107159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4859
Unranked
28.20.0
28.2→28.2
Auto1.0
Teleop27.1
End0.0
blue by 20.0
2512
Unranked
48.20.0
48.2→48.2
Auto8.5
Teleop39.7
End0.0
Second
4778
Unranked
23.00.0
23.0→23.0
Auto1.9
Teleop21.1
End0.0
blue by 18.9
3007
Unranked
41.90.0
41.9→41.9
Auto0.5
Teleop41.4
End0.0
Third
5626
Unranked
16.70.0
16.7→16.7
Auto0.5
Teleop16.2
End0.0
blue by 4.0
5232
Unranked
20.70.0
20.7→20.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop21.0
End0.0