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Red128
218132.2
181633.6
305529.8
Blue91
421521.6
205250.2
300741.9
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8811405015020025012891

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1816
Unranked
33.60.0
33.633.6
Auto0.2
Teleop33.4
End0.0
blue by 16.6
2052
Unranked
50.20.0
50.250.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop50.4
End0.0
Second
2181
Unranked
32.20.0
32.232.2
Auto0.7
Teleop31.5
End0.0
blue by 9.6
3007
Unranked
41.90.0
41.941.9
Auto0.5
Teleop41.4
End0.0
Third
3055
Unranked
29.80.0
29.829.8
Auto0.4
Teleop29.5
End0.0
red by 8.2
4215
Unranked
21.60.0
21.621.6
Auto-0.5
Teleop22.1
End0.0