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Red56
523220.7
247222.4
563823.7
Blue133
288349.8
253023.3
218132.2
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56110015020025056133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5638
Unranked
23.70.0
23.723.7
Auto0.3
Teleop23.4
End0.0
blue by 26.2
2883
Unranked
49.80.0
49.849.8
Auto2.0
Teleop47.9
End0.0
Second
2472
Unranked
22.40.0
22.422.4
Auto0.8
Teleop21.5
End0.0
blue by 9.9
2181
Unranked
32.20.0
32.232.2
Auto0.7
Teleop31.5
End0.0
Third
5232
Unranked
20.70.0
20.720.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop21.0
End0.0
blue by 2.6
2530
Unranked
23.30.0
23.323.3
Auto1.3
Teleop22.0
End0.0