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Red60
414366.7
165855.0
240817.0
Blue120
120852.1
393758.9
58368.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13811105015020025060120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4143
Unranked
66.70.0
66.766.7
Auto1.3
Teleop65.5
End0.0
red by 7.8
3937
Unranked
58.90.0
58.958.9
Auto0.0
Teleop58.9
End0.0
Second
1658
Unranked
55.00.0
55.055.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop55.4
End0.0
red by 2.9
1208
Unranked
52.10.0
52.152.1
Auto0.5
Teleop51.6
End0.0
Third
2408
Unranked
17.00.0
17.017.0
Auto0.5
Teleop16.4
End0.0
red by 8.4
5836
Unranked
8.50.0
8.58.5
Auto0.2
Teleop8.4
End0.0