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Red104
393758.9
128821.3
1208B26.1
Blue40
198536.2
432938.7
339711.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1077905015020010440

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3937
Unranked
58.90.0
58.958.9
Auto0.0
Teleop58.9
End0.0
red by 20.2
4329
Unranked
38.70.0
38.738.7
Auto-1.1
Teleop39.8
End0.0
Second
1208B
Unranked
26.10.0
26.126.1
Auto0.2
Teleop25.8
End0.0
blue by 10.1
1985
Unranked
36.20.0
36.236.2
Auto0.2
Teleop36.0
End0.0
Third
1288
Unranked
21.30.0
21.321.3
Auto0.4
Teleop20.9
End0.0
red by 9.8
3397
Unranked
11.60.0
11.611.6
Auto-0.7
Teleop12.3
End0.0