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Red98
165855.0
432938.7
93126.5
Blue136
248191.5
58368.5
328434.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11313305015020025030035098136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1658
Unranked
55.00.0
55.055.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop55.4
End0.0
blue by 36.5
2481
Unranked
91.50.0
91.591.5
Auto11.6
Teleop79.9
End0.0
Second
4329
Unranked
38.70.0
38.738.7
Auto-1.1
Teleop39.8
End0.0
red by 4.2
3284
Unranked
34.50.0
34.534.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop34.8
End0.0
Third
931
Unranked
26.50.0
26.526.5
Auto1.0
Teleop25.6
End0.0
red by 18.0
5836
Unranked
8.50.0
8.58.5
Auto0.2
Teleop8.4
End0.0