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Red110
180652.3
173066.3
177718.3
Blue134
172330.0
178529.5
171017.0
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions147570100200250300110134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.30.6
66.966.3
Auto9.5
Teleop56.8
End0.0
red by 36.3
1723
#10
30.01.2
28.830.0
Auto1.1
Teleop28.9
End0.0
Second
52.30.6
52.952.3
Auto1.1
Teleop51.2
End0.0
red by 22.8
29.51.0
28.529.5
Auto0.7
Teleop28.8
End0.0
Third
1777
#18
18.30.6
18.918.3
Auto0.6
Teleop17.7
End0.0
red by 1.3
1710
#43
17.01.2
15.817.0
Auto0.0
Teleop17.0
End0.0