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Red51
245728.8
132935.2
352822.9
Blue35
501321.4
193920.6
176321.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions915601502005135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.20.8
35.835.0
Auto1.2
Teleop34.0
End0.0
red by 13.8
5013
#17
21.40.6
21.520.9
Auto0.1
Teleop21.3
End0.0
Second
28.80.8
29.428.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop29.0
End0.0
red by 7.5
1763
#13
21.20.6
21.420.8
Auto0.4
Teleop20.9
End0.0
Third
3528
#23
22.90.8
23.522.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop23.0
End0.0
red by 2.3
20.60.5
20.720.2
Auto1.6
Teleop19.0
End0.0