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Red96
173066.3
216716.4
176417.7
Blue9
18477.3
495914.7
235313.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47250406080100120140160969

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.34.2
25.129.3
Auto9.5
Teleop56.8
End0.0
red by 51.6
4959
#33
14.71.7
9.77.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.0
End0.0
Second
1764
#20
17.74.2
12.616.8
Auto1.4
Teleop16.2
End0.0
red by 4.4
2353
#40
13.31.7
9.37.6
Auto0.2
Teleop13.1
End0.0
Third
2167
#27
16.44.2
8.112.3
Auto1.0
Teleop15.5
End0.0
red by 9.1
1847
#51
7.31.7
10.99.1
Auto0.9
Teleop6.4
End0.0