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Red12
234511.2
235313.3
180652.3
Blue52
233515.8
480916.8
452246.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions435501001501252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.30.4
28.528.1
Auto1.1
Teleop51.2
End0.0
red by 6.2
46.10.1
37.937.7
Auto0.0
Teleop46.1
End0.0
Second
2353
#40
13.30.4
7.67.2
Auto0.2
Teleop13.1
End0.0
blue by 3.6
4809
#15
16.80.2
7.97.7
Auto0.8
Teleop16.0
End0.0
Third
2345
#50
11.20.4
10.610.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.5
End0.0
blue by 4.7
2335
#28
15.80.2
9.18.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.0
End0.0