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Red26
233515.8
193920.6
526815.4
Blue52
128815.7
172330.0
18477.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34410501001502652

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.60.5
13.613.0
Auto1.6
Teleop19.0
End0.0
blue by 9.4
1723
#10
30.00.9
14.815.6
Auto1.1
Teleop28.9
End0.0
Second
2335
#28
15.80.9
8.98.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.0
End0.0
red by 0.1
1288
#29
15.70.9
19.520.4
Auto0.0
Teleop15.7
End0.0
Third
5268
#32
15.40.9
14.213.3
Auto1.2
Teleop14.2
End0.0
red by 8.1
1847
#51
7.30.9
7.38.2
Auto0.9
Teleop6.4
End0.0