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Red51
241033.4
177526.9
235313.3
Blue43
287411.9
245728.8
182522.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454102060801005143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.40.4
17.718.1
Auto1.1
Teleop32.3
End0.0
red by 4.6
28.80.0
16.516.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop29.0
End0.0
Second
1775
#14
26.90.4
20.921.3
Auto0.0
Teleop26.9
End0.0
red by 4.7
1825
#19
22.30.0
19.519.5
Auto0.8
Teleop21.5
End0.0
Third
2353
#40
13.30.4
7.27.7
Auto0.2
Teleop13.1
End0.0
red by 1.4
2874
#37
11.90.0
7.07.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.1
End0.0