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Red16
128815.7
44557.3
19845.8
Blue110
173066.3
547616.8
198721.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions337005010015020016110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1288
#29
15.72.0
20.418.4
Auto0.0
Teleop15.7
End0.0
blue by 50.6
66.33.6
41.044.6
Auto9.5
Teleop56.8
End0.0
Second
4455
#36
7.32.0
12.510.5
Auto0.9
Teleop6.4
End0.0
blue by 14.0
1987
#26
21.33.6
17.921.5
Auto0.5
Teleop20.8
End0.0
Third
1984
#48
5.82.0
6.84.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.9
End0.0
blue by 11.0
5476
#11
16.83.6
7.811.4
Auto0.4
Teleop16.3
End0.0