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Red44
171017.0
464624.4
512615.6
Blue18
526815.4
44557.3
25608.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423602060801004418

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.40.1
16.816.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.5
End0.0
red by 9.0
5268
#32
15.41.2
16.415.2
Auto1.2
Teleop14.2
End0.0
Second
1710
#43
17.00.1
11.911.9
Auto0.0
Teleop17.0
End0.0
red by 8.3
2560
#38
8.71.2
11.810.6
Auto0.1
Teleop8.7
End0.0
Third
5126
#12
15.60.1
14.514.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.9
End0.0
red by 8.3
4455
#36
7.31.2
10.59.3
Auto0.9
Teleop6.4
End0.0