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Red54
50829.3
501321.4
178529.5
Blue26
216716.4
128815.7
511913.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5641020801001201405426

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.50.1
25.925.8
Auto0.7
Teleop28.8
End0.0
red by 13.0
2167
#27
16.41.6
17.616.0
Auto1.0
Teleop15.5
End0.0
Second
5013
#17
21.40.2
20.820.6
Auto0.1
Teleop21.3
End0.0
red by 5.7
1288
#29
15.71.6
17.716.1
Auto0.0
Teleop15.7
End0.0
Third
5082
#42
9.30.2
9.19.0
Auto0.7
Teleop8.6
End0.0
blue by 3.9
5119
#30
13.21.6
9.78.1
Auto0.9
Teleop12.4
End0.0