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Red88
480916.8
176321.2
241033.4
Blue78
495914.7
216418.8
132935.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions576701001502002503008878

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.42.0
30.031.9
Auto1.1
Teleop32.3
End0.0
blue by 1.9
35.20.7
34.134.8
Auto1.2
Teleop34.0
End0.0
Second
1763
#13
21.22.0
21.323.2
Auto0.4
Teleop20.9
End0.0
red by 2.4
2164
#21
18.80.7
18.919.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop19.1
End0.0
Third
4809
#15
16.82.0
9.511.5
Auto0.8
Teleop16.0
End0.0
red by 2.1
4959
#33
14.70.7
14.915.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.0
End0.0