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Red8
37929.7
19945.4
93815.1
Blue34
501321.4
44557.3
547616.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38490100150200834

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
938
#24
15.12.4
17.715.3
Auto0.7
Teleop14.4
End0.0
blue by 6.3
5013
#17
21.41.1
20.219.1
Auto0.1
Teleop21.3
End0.0
Second
3792
#45
9.72.4
14.011.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.9
End0.0
blue by 7.1
5476
#11
16.81.1
18.817.7
Auto0.4
Teleop16.3
End0.0
Third
1994
#53
5.42.4
9.47.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop5.7
End0.0
blue by 1.9
4455
#36
7.31.1
10.39.2
Auto0.9
Teleop6.4
End0.0