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Red86
216716.4
235313.3
464624.4
Blue114
173718.1
193920.6
181020.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4545405060708010086114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.42.6
22.625.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.5
End0.0
red by 3.8
20.63.4
17.320.7
Auto1.6
Teleop19.0
End0.0
Second
2167
#27
16.42.6
13.916.4
Auto1.0
Teleop15.5
End0.0
blue by 4.0
1810
#16
20.54.5
16.020.5
Auto-0.7
Teleop21.2
End0.0
Third
2353
#40
13.32.6
10.713.3
Auto0.2
Teleop13.1
End0.0
blue by 4.8
1737
#22
18.14.5
13.618.1
Auto0.5
Teleop17.6
End0.0