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Red30
509817.0
182522.3
495914.7
Blue76
171017.0
501321.4
233515.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5935020801001201403076

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1825
#19
22.31.4
23.121.7
Auto0.8
Teleop21.5
End0.0
red by 0.9
5013
#17
21.42.4
19.121.5
Auto0.1
Teleop21.3
End0.0
Second
5098
#25
17.01.4
18.417.0
Auto0.0
Teleop16.9
End0.0
blue by 0.1
1710
#43
17.02.4
7.710.0
Auto0.0
Teleop17.0
End0.0
Third
4959
#33
14.71.4
15.614.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.0
End0.0
blue by 1.1
2335
#28
15.82.4
13.415.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.0
End0.0