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Red78
42469.2
432922.7
339716.1
Blue114
44047.6
549225.6
198662.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions156105010015078114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4329
#14
22.73.0
7.710.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop23.2
End0.0
blue by 40.1
62.83.2
43.546.8
Auto8.2
Teleop54.7
End0.0
Second
3397
#31
16.14.6
7.011.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.2
End0.0
blue by 9.5
5492
#10
25.64.8
6.611.4
Auto1.2
Teleop24.4
End0.0
Third
4246
#39
9.24.6
8.513.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop9.4
End0.0
red by 1.6
4404
#42
7.64.8
6.010.9
Auto0.8
Teleop6.8
End0.0