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Red114
165857.1
435615.5
93126.2
Blue97
575824.7
170634.6
120847.6
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions338605010015020011497

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57.15.9
12.418.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop57.3
End0.0
red by 9.5
47.60.9
40.141.0
Auto0.7
Teleop46.9
End0.0
Second
931
#15
26.24.0
21.225.2
Auto1.9
Teleop24.4
End0.0
blue by 8.4
1706
#13
34.60.9
32.233.1
Auto1.9
Teleop32.6
End0.0
Third
4356
#27
15.55.9
9.115.0
Auto0.8
Teleop14.8
End0.0
blue by 9.1
5758
#17
24.71.3
8.610.0
Auto-0.4
Teleop25.1
End0.0