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Red124
432922.7
425641.9
328440.9
Blue46
435615.5
575824.7
423112.5
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions682905010015012446

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.93.0
24.027.0
Auto0.9
Teleop41.0
End0.0
red by 17.2
5758
#17
24.70.9
10.010.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop25.1
End0.0
Second
40.93.0
29.332.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop41.1
End0.0
red by 25.3
4356
#27
15.50.9
15.015.9
Auto0.8
Teleop14.8
End0.0
Third
4329
#14
22.73.0
10.713.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop23.2
End0.0
red by 10.2
4231
#36
12.50.9
10.611.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.8
End0.0