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Qual 272015 St. Louis Regional
Red42
433031.3
128821.3
514711.7
Blue84
549225.6
283817.1
547925.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5150203040607080904284

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4330
#18
31.30.5
29.6→29.0
Auto0.7
Teleop30.6
End0.0
red by 5.4
5479
#8
25.92.7
14.3→17.0
Auto0.9
Teleop25.0
End0.0
Second
1288
#29
21.30.5
13.4→12.8
Auto0.4
Teleop20.9
End0.0
blue by 4.3
5492
#10
25.62.7
14.9→17.6
Auto1.2
Teleop24.4
End0.0
Third
5147
#34
11.70.9
9.9→9.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.9
End0.0
blue by 5.4
2838
#20
17.12.7
22.5→25.2
Auto0.8
Teleop16.3
End0.0