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Red9
433112.9
198524.4
44047.6
Blue86
333018.8
165857.1
575824.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30470100150200986

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1985
#22
24.42.1
16.214.1
Auto0.9
Teleop23.5
End0.0
blue by 32.8
57.13.3
20.824.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop57.3
End0.0
Second
4331
#38
12.92.1
9.87.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.1
End0.0
blue by 11.8
5758
#17
24.73.3
13.216.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop25.1
End0.0
Third
4404
#42
7.62.1
8.16.0
Auto0.8
Teleop6.8
End0.0
blue by 11.2
3330
#21
18.83.3
12.115.5
Auto2.2
Teleop16.6
End0.0