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Red70
120847.6
506014.9
117818.6
Blue96
328440.9
240817.0
450043.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62602040801001207096

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.60.4
44.444.8
Auto0.7
Teleop46.9
End0.0
red by 4.2
43.41.6
26.728.3
Auto0.3
Teleop43.1
End0.0
Second
1178
#28
18.60.6
11.111.8
Auto0.5
Teleop18.1
End0.0
blue by 22.3
40.91.6
30.532.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop41.1
End0.0
Third
5060
#33
14.90.6
6.87.5
Auto0.5
Teleop14.4
End0.0
blue by 2.1
2408
#24
17.02.6
7.19.7
Auto0.5
Teleop16.4
End0.0