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Red86
333018.8
433031.3
109427.5
Blue130
120847.6
450043.4
432922.7
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5792015020025086130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4330
#18
31.31.1
30.231.3
Auto0.7
Teleop30.6
End0.0
blue by 16.3
47.62.0
44.846.8
Auto0.7
Teleop46.9
End0.0
Second
27.51.8
17.018.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop28.0
End0.0
blue by 15.9
43.42.0
28.330.3
Auto0.3
Teleop43.1
End0.0
Third
3330
#21
18.81.8
17.419.2
Auto2.2
Teleop16.6
End0.0
blue by 4.0
4329
#14
22.72.0
17.119.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop23.2
End0.0