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Red110
419625.0
547925.9
120847.6
Blue19
132932.4
425641.9
339716.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5171010015020011019

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.63.3
36.840.1
Auto0.7
Teleop46.9
End0.0
red by 5.7
41.93.1
23.720.6
Auto0.9
Teleop41.0
End0.0
Second
25.915.8
28.913.1
Auto0.9
Teleop25.0
End0.0
blue by 6.5
1329
#23DQ
32.43.1
35.232.1
Auto0.6
Teleop31.8
End0.0
Third
4196
#11
25.04.5
10.214.7
Auto0.1
Teleop24.8
End0.0
red by 8.9
3397
#31
16.14.3
11.37.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.2
End0.0