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Red52
418715.0
132932.4
278342.7
Blue48
493116.1
432922.7
532622.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions744201001502005248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.71.6
25.824.2
Auto3.1
Teleop39.6
End0.0
red by 20.0
4329
#14
22.70.3
19.119.4
Auto-0.5
Teleop23.2
End0.0
Second
1329
#23
32.41.0
34.533.5
Auto0.6
Teleop31.8
End0.0
red by 10.3
5326
#19
22.10.4
13.714.1
Auto0.9
Teleop21.2
End0.0
Third
4187
#26
15.01.6
11.29.6
Auto0.5
Teleop14.4
End0.0
blue by 1.1
4931
#35
16.10.4
16.016.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop16.2
End0.0