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Red30
55835.7
460014.9
549225.6
Blue86
532622.1
328440.9
333018.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions497201001502003086

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5492
#10
25.61.6
24.923.3
Auto1.2
Teleop24.4
End0.0
blue by 15.2
40.90.8
35.236.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop41.1
End0.0
Second
4600
#37
14.91.6
18.016.4
Auto-0.6
Teleop15.6
End0.0
blue by 7.2
5326
#19
22.11.0
17.818.8
Auto0.9
Teleop21.2
End0.0
Third
5583
#43
5.71.6
11.710.0
Auto0.5
Teleop5.2
End0.0
blue by 13.0
3330
#21
18.81.0
17.818.8
Auto2.2
Teleop16.6
End0.0