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Red56
44047.6
386816.4
117818.6
Blue132
418715.0
425641.9
547925.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3967010015020025056132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1178
#28
18.61.1
19.020.1
Auto0.5
Teleop18.1
End0.0
blue by 23.4
41.93.3
34.938.3
Auto0.9
Teleop41.0
End0.0
Second
3868
#25
16.41.1
16.117.2
Auto-0.5
Teleop16.9
End0.0
blue by 9.5
25.94.5
18.923.4
Auto0.9
Teleop25.0
End0.0
Third
4404
#42
7.61.1
10.111.2
Auto0.8
Teleop6.8
End0.0
blue by 7.4
4187
#26
15.04.5
11.215.7
Auto0.5
Teleop14.4
End0.0