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Semifinal pool 42015 St. Louis Regional
Red114
120847.6
278342.7
415426.7
Blue97
450043.4
425641.9
517627.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111108608010012014016018011497

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1208
#6
47.60.0
46.5→46.5
Auto0.7
Teleop46.9
End0.0
red by 4.2
4500
#4
43.40.3
43.8→43.5
Auto0.3
Teleop43.1
End0.0
Second
2783
#5
42.70.0
41.6→41.6
Auto3.1
Teleop39.6
End0.0
red by 0.8
4256
#3
41.90.3
42.3→42.0
Auto0.9
Teleop41.0
End0.0
Third
4154
#12
26.70.0
25.6→25.6
Auto1.1
Teleop25.7
End0.0
blue by 0.6
5176
#16
27.30.3
27.7→27.4
Auto0.0
Teleop27.2
End0.0