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Red141
164070.9
465332.6
428533.9
Blue87
22574.6
568428.1
22321.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102117020030040014187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70.91.6
57.359.0
Auto0.0
Teleop70.9
End0.0
blue by 3.7
225
#7
74.61.6
77.976.3
Auto8.5
Teleop66.1
End0.0
Second
4285
#43
33.91.6
32.333.9
Auto0.0
Teleop33.8
End0.0
red by 5.8
5684
#33
28.11.6
24.723.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop28.1
End0.0
Third
4653
#20
32.61.6
18.920.5
Auto0.0
Teleop32.6
End0.0
red by 11.5
223
#52
21.21.6
16.715.1
Auto-0.8
Teleop21.9
End0.0