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Red128
511329.1
167659.9
122829.1
Blue160
7539.4
437326.4
21945.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10796406080120140160128160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.90.9
59.860.8
Auto0.2
Teleop59.8
End0.0
red by 14.3
219
#25
45.62.9
40.943.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop45.8
End0.0
Second
1228
#40
29.10.9
28.829.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop29.4
End0.0
blue by 10.3
75
#21
39.42.9
42.044.9
Auto0.1
Teleop39.3
End0.0
Third
5113
#26
29.10.9
20.521.5
Auto-0.6
Teleop29.7
End0.0
red by 2.7
4373
#13
26.42.9
18.221.1
Auto0.3
Teleop26.2
End0.0