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Red178
568428.1
167659.9
259058.2
Blue104
70832.2
22321.2
2538.3
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15566050100200250178104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.91.6
60.862.4
Auto0.2
Teleop59.8
End0.0
red by 21.6
25
#41
38.31.1
36.637.6
Auto0.1
Teleop38.2
End0.0
Second
2590
#19
58.21.6
59.160.7
Auto0.8
Teleop57.4
End0.0
red by 26.0
708
#38
32.21.1
25.826.9
Auto0.2
Teleop32.0
End0.0
Third
5684
#33
28.11.6
26.628.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop28.1
End0.0
red by 6.9
223
#52
21.21.1
20.021.1
Auto-0.8
Teleop21.9
End0.0