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Red167
260764.2
42331.5
121860.8
Blue188
22574.6
31661.7
543825.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123139050100200250300167188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.21.8
52.254.0
Auto0.1
Teleop64.1
End0.0
blue by 10.4
225
#7
74.62.3
75.677.9
Auto8.5
Teleop66.1
End0.0
Second
60.81.8
55.457.2
Auto0.6
Teleop60.2
End0.0
blue by 0.9
316
#1
61.72.3
49.551.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop61.7
End0.0
Third
423
#28
31.51.8
22.724.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop31.6
End0.0
red by 6.4
5438
#34
25.12.3
16.518.8
Auto0.9
Teleop24.2
End0.0