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Red112
181135.5
122829.1
27243.2
Blue126
192340.2
511329.1
465332.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1067850150112126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
272
#16
43.20.3
41.141.5
Auto1.0
Teleop42.2
End0.0
red by 3.0
1923
#18
40.22.0
34.436.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop40.5
End0.0
Second
1811
#39
35.50.3
35.035.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop35.5
End0.0
red by 2.8
4653
#20
32.62.0
26.028.0
Auto0.0
Teleop32.6
End0.0
Third
1228
#40
29.10.3
29.129.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop29.4
End0.0
Level
5113
#26
29.12.0
25.227.2
Auto-0.6
Teleop29.7
End0.0