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Red113
21945.6
2538.3
542019.2
Blue162
272922.4
108945.4
164070.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95123050150200250113162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
219
#25
45.60.5
47.147.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop45.8
End0.0
blue by 25.3
70.92.0
65.967.8
Auto0.0
Teleop70.9
End0.0
Second
25
#41
38.30.5
36.236.7
Auto0.1
Teleop38.2
End0.0
blue by 7.1
1089
#10
45.42.0
35.437.4
Auto0.6
Teleop44.8
End0.0
Third
5420
#53
19.20.5
19.419.9
Auto0.2
Teleop19.0
End0.0
blue by 3.2
2729
#50
22.41.9
21.723.6
Auto0.2
Teleop22.2
End0.0